Msp Recovery Stock Performance

MSPR Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  18.37%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -3.05, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MSP Recovery are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, MSP Recovery is expected to outperform it. At this point, MSP Recovery has a negative expected return of -1.31%. Please make sure to verify MSP Recovery's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and period momentum indicator , to decide if MSP Recovery performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MSP Recovery has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:7
Last Split Date
2025-09-02
1
Contrasting MSP Recovery Health Catalyst
11/10/2025
2
Disposition of tradable shares by Rapisarda Paul Howard of MSP Recovery subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
Comparing MSP Recovery and Tivic Health Systems
12/16/2025
4
What analysts say about MSP Recovery Inc CN5 stock - Market Correction Analysis Market Trend Real-Time Reports - earlytimes.in
12/26/2025
5
Disposition of 20000 shares by Rapisarda Paul Howard of MSP Recovery at 0.033 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
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MSP Recovery obtains limited one-time advance amid liquidity strain - TipRanks
01/07/2026
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Disposition of tradable shares by Diaz Cala Faquiry of MSP Recovery subject to Rule 16b-3
01/15/2026
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Market Recap Is MSP Recovery Inc a top pick in the sector - Market Sentiment Report Short-Term Trading Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
01/20/2026
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Disposition of 2500000 shares by Rapisarda Paul Howard of MSP Recovery at 11.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
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Head-To-Head Analysis MSP Recovery versus American Well
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow11.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.7 M
Free Cash Flow-16.6 M

MSP Recovery Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  38.00  in MSP Recovery on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (34.00) from holding MSP Recovery or give up 89.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. MSP Recovery is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 22.9716% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than MSP, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MSP Recovery is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 30.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

MSP Recovery Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MSP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.04 
about 88.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MSP Recovery to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.03 (This MSP Recovery probability density function shows the probability of MSP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days MSP Recovery has a beta of -3.05. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding MSP Recovery are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, MSP Recovery is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally MSP Recovery has an alpha of 0.2199, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MSP Recovery Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MSP Recovery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MSP Recovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0522.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7823.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0522.86
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.733.003.33
Details

MSP Recovery Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MSP Recovery is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MSP Recovery's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MSP Recovery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MSP Recovery within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0

MSP Recovery Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MSP Recovery for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MSP Recovery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSP Recovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MSP Recovery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MSP Recovery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MSP Recovery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.56 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.63 M.
MSP Recovery currently holds about 25.05 M in cash with (16.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
MSP Recovery has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head-To-Head Analysis MSP Recovery versus American Well

MSP Recovery Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MSP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MSP Recovery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSP Recovery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments12.3 M

MSP Recovery Fundamentals Growth

MSP Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MSP Recovery, and MSP Recovery fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MSP Stock performance.

About MSP Recovery Performance

Assessing MSP Recovery's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into MSP Recovery's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the MSP Recovery is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(19.87)(18.88)
Return On Capital Employed(2.24)(2.13)
Return On Assets(0.17)(0.18)
Return On Equity(4.12)(3.92)

Things to note about MSP Recovery performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MSP Recovery for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MSP Recovery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MSP Recovery generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MSP Recovery has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MSP Recovery has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MSP Recovery has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 18.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.56 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.63 M.
MSP Recovery currently holds about 25.05 M in cash with (16.12 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.38, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
MSP Recovery has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head-To-Head Analysis MSP Recovery versus American Well
Evaluating MSP Recovery's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MSP Recovery's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MSP Recovery's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MSP Recovery's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MSP Recovery's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MSP Recovery's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MSP Recovery's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MSP Recovery's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MSP Recovery's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MSP Recovery's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MSP Recovery's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for MSP Stock Analysis

When running MSP Recovery's price analysis, check to measure MSP Recovery's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MSP Recovery is operating at the current time. Most of MSP Recovery's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MSP Recovery's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MSP Recovery's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MSP Recovery to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.